The Portland ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
3 KIM Teo 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10%
3 NEICE William 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
5 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
6 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
7 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 2%
8 LIU William 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
9 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
10 PARK Jayden 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
11 SU Desmond 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
12 VAN Tyson 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
13 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
14 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
15 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
16 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
17 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
18 CRAIG Whitman 100% 100% 98% 73% 30% 5%
19 PAINTER Zachary 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% -
20 SU Preston 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1%
21 SERBAN Joseph T. 100% 100% 97% 71% 28% 4%
22 CHOI Elliot 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% -
23 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
24 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
25 DEISHER Wesley 100% 60% 8% - - -
26 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 68% 21% 3% - -
27 WILCOX Stephen 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
28 NICHOLSON John 100% 53% 5% - - -
29 THOMAS Noah 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
30 SCHUMANN Benjamin 100% 55% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.