The Portland ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 14%
2 PULLARA Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 ENRILE Erica 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
3 YOUN Kylie 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
5 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
6 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
7 GLATZ Alesia 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
8 KUTSY Olga 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
9 MOHAN Riya 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
10 MARCHANT Morgan 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
11 LLOYD Melanie 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
12 BRIDGER DENZ Thea 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
13 RALSTON Katherine 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
14 CHIEM Karen 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
15 GAN Shelby 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
15 BLASKO Judit 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
17 KROTZ Gemma 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
18 JAMES Ashley 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
19 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
20 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
21 RIGSBEE Rachel 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
22 HILL Aurora 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
23 REED Juliya 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
24 BENCH Melody 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
25 BROWN Trish M. 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% -
26 STCLAIREKING Tiffany 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.