The Portland ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MUNLIN Donovan - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
2 LEE Andrew O. - - - 6% 37% 56%
3 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
3 DEMPSEY Connor - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
5 LUEDECKE Myles A. - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
6 DONDISCH ilan - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
7 GONZALES Wesley - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
8 HSU Joshua 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
9 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
10 LU Jacob 1% 8% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
11 WEGENER Soren 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
12 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
13 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - 2% 14% 35% 38% 11%
13 WAI Andreas 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
15 FRANK Fred - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
16 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
17 KILUK Andrew - - 6% 29% 49% 16%
18 HAMZA Tudor - 1% 12% 35% 39% 13%
19 WELDON Benjamin - - 1% 8% 30% 46% 16%
20 PETERSEN Ephraim - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13% 1%
21 VARNEY John R. - 1% 12% 33% 38% 16%
22 SWANSON Carl G. 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
23 MATHES Caleb 1% 11% 38% 36% 13% 2%
24 KWON Andrew 5% 27% 45% 20% 3% -
25 MCNAMARA Scott 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
26 TOYOFUKU Ethan 10% 46% 33% 9% 1% -
27 HANNON Owen 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
28 GOWDA Suyog 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
29 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
30 NEICE William 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
31 OLSON Kevin 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
32 JAN Timothy < 1% 5% 26% 47% 19% 2%
33 SIM Ian 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
34 CHENG Trevor 18% 46% 29% 6% - -
35 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3%
36 LI Timothy 40% 44% 14% 2% - -
37 COHEN Joshua 65% 30% 5% - - -
38 VAN Tyson 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
39 KING Richard (Dick) M. 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
40 MEHROTRA Dhruv 62% 32% 5% - - - -
41 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
42 MCINTOSH Caleb D. 6% 36% 39% 17% 3% -
42 ST CLAIR Soren 66% 30% 4% - - -
42 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.