The Portland ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
2 LEE Andrew O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
3 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
3 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
5 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
6 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
7 GONZALES Wesley 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
8 HSU Joshua 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
9 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
10 LU Jacob 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
11 WEGENER Soren 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
12 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 4% -
13 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
13 WAI Andreas 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
15 FRANK Fred 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
16 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
17 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 16%
18 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
19 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
20 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
21 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
22 SWANSON Carl G. 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
23 MATHES Caleb 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 2%
24 KWON Andrew 100% 95% 68% 23% 3% -
25 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
26 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% -
27 HANNON Owen 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
28 GOWDA Suyog 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
29 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
30 NEICE William 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
31 OLSON Kevin 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
32 JAN Timothy 100% 100% 94% 68% 21% 2%
33 SIM Ian 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
34 CHENG Trevor 100% 82% 36% 7% - -
35 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 3%
36 LI Timothy 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
37 COHEN Joshua 100% 35% 5% - - -
38 VAN Tyson 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% - -
39 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
40 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 38% 6% - - - -
41 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
42 MCINTOSH Caleb D. 100% 94% 59% 20% 3% -
42 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 34% 4% - - -
42 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.