Event Results

Div II Mixed Épée

Swarthmore College Phoenix Cup C & UnderSurprise Map

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:45 AM Lamb-Miller Fieldhouse · Swarthmore, PA, USA

31 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau	V V V V V	V V V V V	4.0	5	+1.0
2	NOOL Alexander	D V V V V V	V V V V D	4.2	5	+0.8
3	KIM Zac	D D D D V	V V V D	1.7	1	-0.7
3	LAWLOR Lee	D V V V V	V V V D	3.0	4	+1.0
5	ANDERSON Riley	V V V V V	V V D	4.3	5	+0.7
6	LEVESQUE Gabriel	V V V V V D	V V D	4.1	5	+0.9
7	SEIKEL Spencer	V V D V V	V V D	3.1	4	+0.9
8	LENAR David	V D V D D	V V D	1.9	2	+0.1
9	PFEIL Shawn	V V V V V	D	3.9	5	+1.1
10	CUMMINGS Owen	D V V V V	V D	3.1	4	+0.9
11	LEE Kevin	V V D D V	V D	2.5	3	+0.5
12	HOFFMAN Ivy	D V V V D	V D	2.2	3	+0.8
12	PAULES Christian	V D V V D	V D	2.5	3	+0.5
14	ZHANG Jason	D V D V V	V D	2.6	3	+0.4
14	SAINT-PHARD Shana	V D V D V	V D	1.7	3	+1.3
16	MAGUIRE Timothy	V D D V D D	V D	2.4	2	-0.4
17	LOPEZ Alexander	V V V V D	D	3.7	4	+0.3
18	FAKTOR Emily	D V V V D V	D	2.0	4	+2.0
19	RUSEN Gary V.	V D D D V V	D	2.2	3	+0.8
20	MITCHELL Matthew D.	D V D V D	D	2.1	2	-0.1
21	GUIDANGEN Jason	V D V D D	D	1.7	2	+0.3
22	BISHOP Avery	V D D D V	D	2.1	2	-0.1
23	WILKENS Lorelei	V D V D D	D	1.3	2	+0.7
24	ZHAO Rui	D V D D D V	D	2.9	2	-0.9
25	SPECTER Luka	D D D D V	D	1.3	1	-0.3
26	MOULDING Hugh	D V D D D	D	2.7	1	-1.7
27	NEPOMUCENO Elijah	D D D V D	D	2.7	1	-1.7
28	TRAN Alex	D D D D D D	D	3.2	0	-3.2
29	MOO Kaw	D D D D D	D	2.6	0	-2.6
30	SCHLISKEY Ellington	D D D D D	D	1.7	0	-1.7
31	FOY Sophia	D D D D D	D	1.6	0	-1.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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