Manhattan Fencing Center Saber Liberty Cup

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 1:45 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
5 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
6 STOLCKE Julian 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
7 HAHN Ever 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 2%
8 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40% 4%
9 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
10 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
11 WILSON Hunter 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
12 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
13 SONG Ryan 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
14 SADARANGANI Saisha 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
15 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
16 MERZLYAKOV Vladimir 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
17 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
18 MUSA Roman 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
19 MITCHELL Lorne 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
20 BARAKH Adam 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
21 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
22 WONG Jacob 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
23 DOWNEY Jaxon 100% 99% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
24 BELANI Rahul 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
25 KIM Colin 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
26 WIJE Mahamaya 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
27 HONG Isaac 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
28 CHOI Ethan 100% 87% 40% 8% 1% - -
29 KIM Apollo 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
30 YUN Matthew 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
31 ABADIR james 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
32 MCGUIRE Declan 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
33 HUANG Nicholas 100% 37% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.