Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
5 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
6 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
7 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
8 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
9 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
10 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
11 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
12 LI Lucas 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7% -
13 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
14 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
15 BRISENO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
16 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
17 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 11%
18 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
19 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
20 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
21 LI Kent 100% 96% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
22 PARK Sean 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
23 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
24 LI Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
25 BRADY Jack 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
26 WANG Mason 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
27 PARK Layne 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
28 BROOKS Isaac 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
29 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
30 CHOU Franklin 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
31 LAN Jasper 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
32 KUANG Cyrus 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
33 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
34 SABINO Bennett 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
35 WANG Harrison 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
36 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
37 BERGAN Chase 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
38 ZHANG Caleb 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
39 MAUREL Louis 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
39 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
41 ALLEN Parker 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
42 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
43 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
44 YU Ronen 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
45 HUANG Joseph 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
46 URQUILLA Devin 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
47 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
48 KASSAYE Abi 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3% -
49 KONG Ethan 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
50 CARD Ewan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
51 KELLY Collin 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
52 GUO Aiden 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
53 ALLEN Paxton 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
54 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
55 BONGIORNO Redding 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
56 CHOI Clayton 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
57 STOKELY Samuel 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
58 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
59 BADMUS David 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
60 MCCABE Donovan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
61 SHEK-WEI Wesley 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
62 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
63 AUSLANDER Rocco 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
64 LI Derek 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
65 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
66 GU Viljo Weihan 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
67 HAMM Bennett 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
68 GUO Lining 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% - -
69 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
70 XU Evan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
71 LEE Augustine 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
71 CHEN Remsen 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
73 XU Andrew 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
74 ZHAO Evan 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
75 SHERLOCK Jacob 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.