Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVIDOVA Kira - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
2 NADKARNI Marisa - - - 5% 21% 44% 29%
3 YADAV Tishya - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
3 NG Sophia - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
5 VINOKUR Anita - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
6 KIM Grace - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
7 BORGUETA Madison - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
8 XU Elaine - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
9 FAN Alexandria - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
10 NANDA Maanika - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
10 NIU Jessica - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
12 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne - 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
13 HUANG Pierra - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
14 VATS Ishita - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
15 PEREIRA Izumi 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
16 SUNG Olivia - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
17 REN Katherine - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 19%
18 WONG Charlene - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
19 ZHANG Ashley - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
20 CHOWDHERY Myra - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
21 HUANG Zoe - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
22 LEE Kaitlin 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
23 LIANG Claire - 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
24 PARK Haylie - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
25 CHANG Annette - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
26 JOHNSON Neema - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
27 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 5% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
28 MAJEWSKA Maria 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
29 TA-ZHOU Sophia 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
29 LAFFY Lily - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
31 DESAUTELS Alexandra - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
32 SEVASTOPULO Sahra - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
33 ZHANG Audrey 3% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
34 WANG MONA - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
35 CHANG Norah - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
36 KO Ariel 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
37 FLEEGER Sophia 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
38 FANG Darcy 8% 39% 37% 14% 2% - -
39 YOUNG Sienna 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
40 PIÑOL Annika 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
41 HU Heidi - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
42 LIU Chelsea - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
43 ZHANG Nikki 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
44 NAKATA Gwyneth 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
45 PHILLIPPY Hannah 13% 39% 33% 13% 2% - -
46 JOHNSON Marlee 48% 41% 9% 1% - - -
47 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
48 MALUKI Nia - 4% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
49 WANG Selina 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
50 ONO Lisa 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
51 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
52 TOPALOV Julia 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
53 GUO Yuexi 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
54 SHOWKIER Amal 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
55 KANG Ellie 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
56 ZHANG Manyao 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
57 CHANG Kelly 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
58 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
59 MAZZURCO Marin 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
60 MARTINSON Corinne 62% 32% 6% - - - -
60 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 23% 51% 22% 4% - - -
62 JEON Kristen 1% 14% 49% 29% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.