Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 2%
3 NG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
5 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 KIM Grace 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 3%
7 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
8 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
9 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
10 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
10 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
12 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
13 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
14 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
15 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
16 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
17 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
18 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
19 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
20 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
21 HUANG Zoe 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
22 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
23 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
24 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
25 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
26 JOHNSON Neema 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
27 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
28 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
29 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
29 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
31 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
32 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
33 ZHANG Audrey 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
34 WANG MONA 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
35 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
36 KO Ariel 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
37 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
38 FANG Darcy 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% - -
39 YOUNG Sienna 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
40 PIÑOL Annika 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
41 HU Heidi 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
42 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
43 ZHANG Nikki 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
44 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
45 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 87% 48% 15% 3% - -
46 JOHNSON Marlee 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
47 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
48 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
49 WANG Selina 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
50 ONO Lisa 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
51 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
52 TOPALOV Julia 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
53 GUO Yuexi 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
54 SHOWKIER Amal 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
55 KANG Ellie 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
56 ZHANG Manyao 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
57 CHANG Kelly 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
58 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
59 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
60 MARTINSON Corinne 100% 38% 6% - - - -
60 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 77% 26% 4% - - -
62 JEON Kristen 100% 99% 85% 36% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.