Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 3:45 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRAIN Bennett - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
2 ZHANG Kaixuan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
3 WANG Max - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
3 BOLLU Viren - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
5 GERSTMANN Max T. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
6 YADAV Lakshya - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
7 CIEMINS Henry - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
8 JENSBY Jason - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
9 KIARA Kinoti - 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
10 DAI Zihou - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
11 KOGAN Nikita - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
12 LIN Felix - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
13 BENSON Jacob - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
14 MALAITHONG Nathagorn - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
15 LI Cooper - 5% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3%
16 HALL Noah - 4% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3%
17 REHM Liam 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
18 MOYD Aaron - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
19 JI Johnson - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
20 LUAN Mark - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
21 BALU Aedan - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
22 WANG Junyu - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
23 SAYAR Luke 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
24 LOO Jason - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
25 PEREIRA Beckham - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
26 WANG Michael - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
27 WITCZAK Mateus 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
28 HU Harry - 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
29 DECK Tyson - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
30 BENE Andrew 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
31 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 11% 35% 34% 15% 4% - -
32 VLASENKO Bohdan 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
33 FENG Brendan - 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1%
34 EYSTER Edison - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
35 BENE Paul 5% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
36 STRUCKER Rocco 6% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
37 WEST-BEY Ahmad 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
38 RINALDI Savio - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
38 AO Christopher - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
40 WANG Alex 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% -
41 MARKOWITZ Jonathan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
42 PARCELL Colby - 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
43 XU Ivan - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
44 SMOLINSKI Nicolas 51% 36% 11% 2% - - -
45 BRAMLETT Myer 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
46 REED Austin 86% 13% 1% - - - -
47 MICHALSKI Brandon 78% 20% 2% - - - -
48 WANG Ziyao 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
49 FORD Aaron 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.