Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 3:45 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRAIN Bennett 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
2 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
3 WANG Max 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
3 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
5 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
6 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9%
7 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
8 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
9 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
10 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
11 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
12 LIN Felix 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
13 BENSON Jacob 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
14 MALAITHONG Nathagorn 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
15 LI Cooper 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 3%
16 HALL Noah 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
17 REHM Liam 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
18 MOYD Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
19 JI Johnson 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
20 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
21 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
22 WANG Junyu 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
23 SAYAR Luke 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
24 LOO Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
25 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
26 WANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
27 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
28 HU Harry 100% 100% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
29 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
30 BENE Andrew 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
31 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
32 VLASENKO Bohdan 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
33 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
34 EYSTER Edison 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
35 BENE Paul 100% 95% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
36 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 94% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
37 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
38 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
38 AO Christopher 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
40 WANG Alex 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
41 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
42 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
43 XU Ivan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
44 SMOLINSKI Nicolas 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
45 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
46 REED Austin 100% 14% 1% - - - -
47 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 22% 2% - - - -
48 WANG Ziyao 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
49 FORD Aaron 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.