The Portland ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POHREBNA Yeva 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 MCGLADE Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 GUAN Isabella 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
5 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
6 SUN Karolyn 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
7 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
8 JAMES Ashley 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
9 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
10 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
11 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
12 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
13 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
14 GAN Shelby 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
15 RALSTON Katherine 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% - -
16 RIGSBEE Rachel 100% 94% 64% 24% 5% - -
17 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
18 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
19 KROTZ Gemma 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
20 MOHAN Riya 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
21 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
22 ENRILE Erica 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
23 LLOYD Melanie 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
24 KARTHIK Diya 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
25 CHIEM Karen 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
26 YOUN Kylie 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
27 KUTSY Olga 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
28 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
29 MARCHANT Morgan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
30 PULLARA Ashley 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
31 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
32 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
33 BENCH Melody 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
34 BLASKO Judit 100% 77% 33% 8% 1% - -
35 HILL Aurora 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.