MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KHANAL Sarah 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% < 1%
2 ZHU Claire 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 15%
3 GEMBALA Theodore 100% 94% 68% 30% 6%
3 SHU Kayla 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
5 GOWDA Adisha 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
6 LAI Olivia 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
7 LEE Madison 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
8 DONG YIKUN 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
9 COOK Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
10 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
11 ZENG Cayden 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
12 WONG Sebastian 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
13 EMERSON Cullen 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
14 PAYNE Luca 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
15 SHUM KEIRA 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
16 CHONG Corinne 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
17 PICACHE Camilla 100% 84% 46% 13% 1%
18 GUO Christine 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
19 CHANG George 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
20 LIN Vienna 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
21 XIAO Albert 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
22 HU Marissa 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
23 CHEN Celina 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.