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Event Results

Senior Mixed Foil

2025 TCFC March ChallengesSurprise Map

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:30 AM Twin Cities Fencing Club · St. Paul, MN, USA
37 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 TOEWS Jackson V V V V V V V V V V 4.3 5 +0.7
2 WILKINS Mateo V V V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
3 MARTIN Wesley V V V V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
3 GLOVER George V V V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
5 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita V V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
6 ZINSER Jamie V V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
7 LI Grace V V V D V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
8 JARCHO Beckett V V V V D V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
9 FOSTERVOLD Castiel D V V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
10 STELLPFLUG Zachary V V D V D V V D 1.3 4 +2.7
11 MENASCO Juliun V D V V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
12 HOPKINS Dylan D D V V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
13 NARANJO David E. D V D V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
14 TRAN Allex V V D V D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
15 RIES Celina D D V V V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
16 DRAWZ Chase V D V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
17 CLIPPARD Erik J. V V V D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
18 HICKNER Gabe V D D V V D 0.8 3 +2.2
19 HELLMAN Andrew V V D V D D 2.8 3 +0.2
20 EDLIN Miranda V D V D V D 1.1 3 +1.9
21 ARTHURS Minna D D V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
22 POLYZOIS Alkis V V D D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
23 BUECKING Jannis D V V D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
24 MOULDER Dylan D D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
25 JORGENSEN Kjirsten D V D V D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
26 DAVIS Jace W. D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
27 NEPAL Noukou Asha D D D D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
28 MOHAMED Ahmed D V D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
29 PETERSON Penelope V D D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
29 CHRISTENSEN Jack D D D V D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
31 GUIDER Lee D D D V D D V D 3.3 1 -2.3
32 ROY Griffin D D D D D V D 2.3 0 -2.3
33 FENNEWALD Adam D D D D V D 2.6 1 -1.6
34 KIM Hokyum D D V D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
35 ODETTE Jack D D D D D D 2.8 0 -2.8
36 HELLMAN Daniel D D D D D D 2.8 0 -2.8
37 CANADA Ethan D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%