2025 TCFC March Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOEWS Jackson - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
2 WILKINS Mateo - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
3 MARTIN Wesley 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
3 GLOVER George - 3% 18% 39% 34% 6%
5 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita - 1% 10% 36% 42% 12%
6 ZINSER Jamie - - 3% 26% 53% 18%
7 LI Grace - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
8 JARCHO Beckett - - - 7% 37% 56%
9 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
10 STELLPFLUG Zachary 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
11 MENASCO Juliun 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
12 HOPKINS Dylan 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
13 NARANJO David E. - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
14 TRAN Allex 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
15 RIES Celina 8% 39% 41% 12% 1% -
16 DRAWZ Chase 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
17 CLIPPARD Erik J. 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
18 HICKNER Gabe 42% 43% 13% 2% - -
19 HELLMAN Andrew 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
20 EDLIN Miranda 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
21 ARTHURS Minna 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
22 POLYZOIS Alkis 12% 42% 39% 7% - -
23 BUECKING Jannis - 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
24 MOULDER Dylan 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
25 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
26 DAVIS Jace W. 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
27 NEPAL Noukou Asha 32% 45% 20% 3% - -
28 MOHAMED Ahmed 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
29 PETERSON Penelope 3% 27% 41% 23% 6% -
29 CHRISTENSEN Jack 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
31 GUIDER Lee - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
32 ROY Griffin 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
33 FENNEWALD Adam 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
34 KIM Hokyum 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
35 ODETTE Jack 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
36 HELLMAN Daniel < 1% 7% 32% 40% 18% 3%
37 CANADA Ethan < 1% 8% 33% 42% 16% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.