Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Junior Women's Épée

Friday, March 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WAT Chok Weng 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
3 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
3 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
6 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
7 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
8 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
9 WU Jessica 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
10 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
11 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 5%
12 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
13 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
14 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
15 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
16 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
17 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
18 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
19 GUESNARD Maelig 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
20 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
21 BUSH emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
22 BURICEA Ada 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
23 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1% -
24 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
25 LIN Isabel 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
26 WONG Sydney 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
27 BAUTISTA DE ROBLES Ekaterine 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
28 BLANCO Ariia 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
29 GAGARING Genia 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
30 MENDOZA zoie 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
31 HAN Sydney 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
32 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
33 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
34 FU Shannon 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
35 HE Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
36 DALEY Keira 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
36 KANE Chloe 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
38 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
39 ZHAO Emma 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
40 LEE Yeriel 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
41 YUEN Elsie 100% 88% 52% 18% 4% - -
42 ZHU Riley 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
43 WANG Olivia 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
44 HERD Angela 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
45 PACHECO Carys 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
46 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2%
47 BUCA Nora 100% 90% 52% 16% 3% -
48 RADOV Una 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
49 WANG Lihong 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
50 GAN Shelby 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
51 LEE Adelynn 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
52 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 3%
52 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
54 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
55 HAN Yuchen 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
56 DYMAR Anna 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
57 KUTSY Olga 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
58 SHETTY Nandita 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
59 DRYSDALE Lita 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
60 ZU Jacqueline 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
61 MOHEBI Neeka 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
62 TIEN Shaylin 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
63 WANG Chantal 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
64 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
65 STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
66 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
67 MAENG Gloria 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
68 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
69 THOMAS Mackenzie 100% 36% 5% - - - -
70 LUCENA Yaretzi 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
71 LEE Alyssa 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
72 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 94% 59% 19% 3% - -
73 CIOBANU Alexia 100% 78% 36% 10% 1% - -
74 TAMIR Annika 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
75 GROSSMAN Piper 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.