Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
2 LIU kai yin aria - 1% 7% 22% 37% 28% 6%
3 MANN Sophia J. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
3 WANG Yixuan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
5 CONG Anne - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
6 WONG Natalie - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
7 YAO Rainie - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
8 ARNOLD Hali - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
9 DANG Kelia - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
10 CHAN Jolene - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
11 YUEN Nicole - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
12 HAN Emma - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
13 NGUYEN Siena - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
14 LONG Jessie - 5% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2%
14 GARCÍA RUBIO Pau - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
16 OCA Merci - 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
17 YAM Danika - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
18 LO Chloe - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
19 YU Stella - 6% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
20 KIM Satie - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
21 GOLOVITSER Maya - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
22 LIN Elaine - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
23 JEFFORDS Sophia 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
24 LIN Annika - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6%
25 DIECK Miranda P. - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
26 KIRBY Skye 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
27 WANG Jiayi - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
28 SNOAD Indy 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
29 SENGUPTA Jia 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
30 SHEARER Alena 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
31 LIN Ariel 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
32 HWANG Charlotte 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
33 HU Michelle - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
34 LOMOTAN Addison - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
35 XA-CHIN Sara - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
36 GAY Sasha - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
37 CHEN Elaine - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
38 ZHAI AMY 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
39 MAO anna 2% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
40 DUDNICK Morgan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
41 TONG Laurie 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
42 LIU Hannah 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
43 ASPIRAS Avery 2% 38% 40% 16% 3% - -
44 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
45 MAO Elsa - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
46 ZHANG JADY 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
47 KIM Alexia 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
48 MUNGUIA Mila - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
49 WONG Cerise 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
50 MISHEV Lila 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
51 YU Skylar 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
52 BROCK Sydney - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
53 NING Lynn - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
54 CAI Veronica 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
55 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
56 KNULL Emma 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
57 KO Ariel 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
58 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 22% 49% 23% 4% - - -
59 RAMIREZ Mirka A. - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
60 TURIANO Nadelle - 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
61 DEMARIA Lauren 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
62 BORTAI Eliza 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
63 MORINAGA Mirai 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
64 PANCHAL Arya 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
65 STONE Coral 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
66 HENRY Erin 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
67 WILSON Eva - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
68 BAIRD Kaleah 33% 45% 19% 4% - -
69 CHANG Annette 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
70 LIN Abbey 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
71 SUN Angela 45% 43% 11% 1% - - -
72 PATIL Jyothi 39% 43% 16% 3% - - -
73 ZHANG angelina 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
74 NGUYEN Summer 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
75 ANDERSON Kathryn 90% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.