Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
2 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 6%
3 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
6 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
7 YAO Rainie 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
8 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
9 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
10 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
11 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
12 HAN Emma 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
13 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
14 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
14 GARCÍA RUBIO Pau 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
16 OCA Merci 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
17 YAM Danika 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
18 LO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
19 YU Stella 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% -
20 KIM Satie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
21 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
22 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
23 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
24 LIN Annika 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
25 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
26 KIRBY Skye 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
27 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
28 SNOAD Indy 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
29 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
30 SHEARER Alena 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
31 LIN Ariel 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
32 HWANG Charlotte 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
33 HU Michelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
34 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
35 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
36 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
37 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
38 ZHAI AMY 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
39 MAO anna 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
40 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
41 TONG Laurie 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
42 LIU Hannah 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
43 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 98% 60% 20% 3% - -
44 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
45 MAO Elsa 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
46 ZHANG JADY 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
47 KIM Alexia 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
48 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
49 WONG Cerise 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
50 MISHEV Lila 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
51 YU Skylar 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
52 BROCK Sydney 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
53 NING Lynn 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
54 CAI Veronica 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
55 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
56 KNULL Emma 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
57 KO Ariel 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
58 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 78% 28% 5% - - -
59 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
60 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 100% 94% 66% 29% 6% -
61 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
62 BORTAI Eliza 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
63 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
64 PANCHAL Arya 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
65 STONE Coral 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
66 HENRY Erin 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
67 WILSON Eva 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
68 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
69 CHANG Annette 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
70 LIN Abbey 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
71 SUN Angela 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
72 PATIL Jyothi 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
73 ZHANG angelina 100% 59% 19% 4% - - -
74 NGUYEN Summer 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
75 ANDERSON Kathryn 100% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.