Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
3 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
5 MORALES Isaac 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 4%
6 SHI Boris 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
7 HASTINGS Alex 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
8 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
9 MA Gangjin 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
10 WENGER Rowan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
11 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
12 YOUNG Jack 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
13 DHANOA Kian 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
14 FEEHAN Conor 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
15 BALES Gabriel 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
16 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
17 WENGER Liam 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
18 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
19 BLACK John 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
20 XU Rambert 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
21 CHAN William 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
22 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
23 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
24 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
25 YATES Graeme 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
26 CRONK Trevor 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
27 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.