Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 HASTINGS Alex 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 2%
3 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
5 FERGUSON Levi 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 17%
6 WENGER Liam 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
7 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
8 SHI Boris 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
9 WENGER Rowan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
10 LI Andy 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 2%
11 YOUNG Jack 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
12 BALES Gabriel 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
13 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
14 BLACK John 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
15 MORALES Tycho 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
16 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% -
17 MADDES Gage 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
18 DEPP Edward 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
19 CHAN William 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1%
20 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 13% 1%
21 XU Rambert 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
22 TOMOV Evan 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
23 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
24 CRONK Trevor 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
25 FEEHAN Conor 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
26 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 92% 56% 18% 2% -
27 FLOOD Moe 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
28 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
29 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
30 FERRARO Vito 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
31 RILEY Parker 100% 42% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.