Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RIVERA Leahy - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 YANG Olivia - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 BELL Blake 1% 11% 31% 38% 18% 2%
3 CULLIVAN Elise - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
5 HUANG Emma - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
6 SAVIOZ Naomi 1% 8% 29% 40% 21% 2%
7 REDEMANN Reagan 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 1%
8 CHAN Chloe 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
9 JONES Parker 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
10 CHO Yuna 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
11 ZHANG Norah 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
12 LALONDE Beatrice 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
13 CHE Vera 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
14 WANG Sophia 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
15 LIU Doris 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
16 KOLPIN Elise 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
17 ZMUDA Jordan 43% 43% 13% 2% - -
18 NORD Chloe 37% 42% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.