Daugherty Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 BELL Blake 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
3 CULLIVAN Elise 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4%
5 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
6 SAVIOZ Naomi 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
7 REDEMANN Reagan 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 1%
8 CHAN Chloe 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
9 JONES Parker 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
10 CHO Yuna 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
11 ZHANG Norah 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
12 LALONDE Beatrice 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
13 CHE Vera 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
14 WANG Sophia 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
15 LIU Doris 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
16 KOLPIN Elise 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
17 ZMUDA Jordan 100% 57% 14% 2% - -
18 NORD Chloe 100% 63% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.