Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
2 WANG Jiayi - - 2% 12% 33% 37% 14%
3 CHAN Jolene - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 YUEN Nicole - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
5 CONG Anne - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
6 LIN Elaine - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
7 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
8 OCA Merci - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
9 WANG Yixuan - - - 5% 31% 64%
10 ARNOLD Hali - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
11 ZHAI AMY - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
12 WONG Natalie - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
13 KIM Satie - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
14 KIM Saeren - 3% 14% 30% 34% 16% 3%
15 NGUYEN Summer 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
16 GARCÍA RUBIO Pau - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
17 SHEARER Alena - 6% 32% 43% 18% 2%
18 KNULL Emma 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
19 LONG Chloe 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
20 LONG Jessie - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
21 MORINAGA Mirai 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
22 CHEN Elaine - 1% 15% 41% 37% 6%
23 LAUREYNS Ainsley - 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
24 MAO anna - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
25 CHANG Annette - 6% 26% 42% 22% 3%
26 RAGHURAMAN Anishka - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
27 SENGUPTA Jia - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
28 YU Stella - 7% 33% 42% 17% 1%
29 MISHEV Lila - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
30 WU Daisy 3% 21% 42% 27% 6% -
31 LIU Hannah 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
32 WONG Cerise - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
33 STAPLEY Claire 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% < 1% -
34 HWANG Charlotte - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
35 LIU kai yin aria - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
36 TONG Laurie - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
37 NING Lynn - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
38 HENRY Erin 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
38 ZHANG angelina 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
40 ROBBINS Adele 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
41 MAO Elsa - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
42 JUNG Sienna 3% 34% 41% 18% 4% - -
43 MUNGUIA Mila - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
44 CHANG Kaitlyn 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
44 PARK Chloe 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
46 HAN Emma - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
47 CAO arissa 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
48 LIN Ariel 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
49 PEREIRA Izumi 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
50 LIN Annika - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
51 KO Ariel 10% 54% 30% 6% - -
52 BORTAI Eliza 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
53 DING Jolie 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
54 ZHANG JADY 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
55 PANCHAL Arya 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
56 YU Skylar - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
57 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
58 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
59 HU Ashley 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
60 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
61 LEE Madeleine 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
62 DOXAN Sarah 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
63 LIM Eunice 16% 44% 31% 8% 1% -
64 LIN Abbey 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
65 XU Rachel 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
66 KIM Alice 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
67 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
68 DENG Oscar 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
69 SUNG Isabella - 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
70 SUN Angela 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
70 YANG Renee 75% 23% 2% - - -
72 ASPIRAS Avery 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
73 PATIL Jyothi 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% - -
74 ANDERSON Kathryn 86% 14% 1% - - - -
74 VACA RODRIGUEZ camila Emilia 3% 37% 43% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.