Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
3 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
6 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
7 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
8 OCA Merci 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
9 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
10 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
11 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
12 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
13 KIM Satie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
14 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
15 NGUYEN Summer 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
16 GARCÍA RUBIO Pau 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
17 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 94% 63% 20% 2%
18 KNULL Emma 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
19 LONG Chloe 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
20 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
21 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
22 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 6%
23 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
24 MAO anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
25 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
26 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
27 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
28 YU Stella 100% 100% 93% 60% 18% 1%
29 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
30 WU Daisy 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% -
31 LIU Hannah 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
32 WONG Cerise 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
33 STAPLEY Claire 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% < 1% -
34 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
35 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
36 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
37 NING Lynn 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
38 HENRY Erin 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
38 ZHANG angelina 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
40 ROBBINS Adele 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
41 MAO Elsa 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
42 JUNG Sienna 100% 97% 63% 22% 4% - -
43 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
44 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
44 PARK Chloe 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
46 HAN Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
47 CAO arissa 100% 99% 92% 69% 37% 11% 1%
48 LIN Ariel 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
49 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
50 LIN Annika 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
51 KO Ariel 100% 90% 36% 6% - -
52 BORTAI Eliza 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
53 DING Jolie 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% 1% -
54 ZHANG JADY 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
55 PANCHAL Arya 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
56 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
57 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
58 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
59 HU Ashley 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
60 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
61 LEE Madeleine 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
62 DOXAN Sarah 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
63 LIM Eunice 100% 84% 39% 8% 1% -
64 LIN Abbey 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
65 XU Rachel 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
66 KIM Alice 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
67 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
68 DENG Oscar 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
69 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
70 SUN Angela 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
70 YANG Renee 100% 25% 2% - - -
72 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
73 PATIL Jyothi 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
74 ANDERSON Kathryn 100% 14% 1% - - - -
74 VACA RODRIGUEZ camila Emilia 100% 97% 60% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.