Boston Fencing Club RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 56%
3 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 32%
3 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
5 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
6 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
7 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 46%
8 XU Serena 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
9 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
10 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
11 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
12 LI Caroline 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 1%
13 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
14 XIAO Nancy 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
15 PETROFF Eva 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
16 FENG ge 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
17 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 22%
18 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
19 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 10%
20 YANG Hanting 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 11%
21 TRAN Helena 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
22 WANG Chloe 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% -
23 CHEN Alina 100% 99% 87% 50% 12% 1%
23 NING Miranda 100% 99% 92% 60% 19% 2%
25 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
26 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 86% 40% 7% -
26 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 98% 81% 35% 4%
28 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 16%
29 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
30 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
31 BI Michelle 100% 96% 69% 25% 3% -
32 LAW Mila 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
33 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 100% 90% 53% 16% 2%
34 YU Eva 100% 98% 84% 44% 9% 1%
35 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
36 ZHANG Jane 100% 98% 80% 39% 7% -
37 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 6%
38 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
39 BISONO Valentina 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7% -
40 XU Mulan 100% 73% 23% 3% - -
41 FENG Iris 100% 97% 77% 31% 6% -
42 LI Alice 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
43 SONKU Mira 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
44 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 5%
45 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 96% 65% 19% 2%
46 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
47 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 96% 70% 27% 3% -
48 YU Livia 100% 77% 31% 5% - -
49 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 58% 9% 1% - -
50 MEYER Rachel 100% 97% 78% 36% 7% -
51 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% -
52 CHEN Allison 100% 44% 5% - - -
53 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
54 PAN Angela 100% 100% 93% 51% 11% 1%
55 JIANG chenxi 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
56 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 98% 76% 33% 4% -
57 YOUN Emily 100% 64% 18% 2% - -
58 SONG Charlotte 100% 76% 21% 2% - -
59 MEYER Rebecca 100% 98% 84% 44% 10% 1%
60 NGUYEN Celena 100% 92% 61% 20% 3% -
61 SHIN Jamie 100% 59% 9% 1% - -
62 DING Iris Siyue 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
63 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
64 TIAN Victoria 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
65 CHI Sarah 100% 98% 56% 15% 2% -
66 ADAMS Agatha 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
67 LE NOC’H Farrah 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
68 IVANUSHKINA Alisa 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
69 SANCHEZ Natasha 100% 93% 45% 8% - -
70 STOCKTON Catherine 100% 60% 14% 1% - -
71 CHOWRIRA Reynah 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
72 BUES Caelan 100% 6% - - - -
73 WU Madisen 100% 72% 26% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.