University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | JAN Stephen | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 2 | PAI Dong-Ying | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | WOOD Alexander W. | V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | FLANAGAN James | V D D D | V V V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 5 | DIAZ Julio P. | V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 6 | KURPASKA Jonathan A. | D V V V V | V V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 7 | GROSS Stephen R. | V V D D V | V V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 8 | ABRAHAMS Paul | V D V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 9 | RADU Andrew | V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 10 | MASTRONARDI Joseph M. | V V V V D | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 11 | RIFFATERRE Jason | V D V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 12 | VIVEROS Oscar A. | V D V D V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 13 | BEREKNYEI Thomas | D V V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 14 | RUSANOV Oleg | D D V D V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 15 | ZEIN ELABEDIN Tamer | V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 16 | LEE Hans | D D V D V | V D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 17 | COTLAR Andrew D. | V V D V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 18 | BHATT Jay | D V V D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 19 | WAY Kashi M. | D V D D V | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 20 | FADL Omar | V D D V D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 21 | WOOD BEn | D V D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 22 | GUERRERO Gonzalo | D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 23 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 24 | CHAO Pierre | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 25 | MYERS Kenneth | D D D V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 26 | WU Geoffrey | D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 27 | BUCHANAN Jonah | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 28 | CHANDLEE Thomas | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 29 | CHANDLEE Richard (Rick) | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.