The Cherry Blossom - D1A/VET ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 2:00 PM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Shuang 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 LI Katerina 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 2%
5 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
5 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
7 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
8 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
9 LIU Long 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
10 SHICK Veronika 100% 98% 81% 38% 8% 1%
11 DONG Emily 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
12 CAO Kayla 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
13 LEE Alice 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
14 PHAN Logan 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
15 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28% 2%
16 FELLMAN Sara 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
17 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
18 BASSIK Judith M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
19 MADDOX Lacey E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 5%
20 LAM Victoria M. 100% 100% 96% 67% 17% -
21 WATERS Samantha M. 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 2% -
22 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 95% 61% 21% 3% - -
23 MCGRATH Polina S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 6%
24 SULLIVAN Redmond 100% 94% 33% 4% - -
25 PONCET Sarah 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
26 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 100% 88% 39% 5% -
27 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 81% 33% 6% - -
28 KATS Ekaterina 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
29 GORDON Rachel A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
30 BARCZAK Rebekah 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
31 MOORE Addisyn 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
32 ABD-ELMONIEM Nusayba K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
33 MARKERT Delaney 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
34 WU Lorena 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
35 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 79% 31% 6% - - -
36 FERGUSON Diane F. 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8%
37 JAIN Dia 100% 12% - - - -
38 MARRELLI Carolina 100% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.