Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Canlan Sports - Barrington, IL 60010, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUANG Oscar - - - 1% 40% 46% 13%
2 ZHENG Marcus - - - - - 5% 95%
3 KAGAN Noah - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
3 TAN Xinlai - - - 1% 14% 85%
5 LI Andy - 3% 20% 48% 27% 3%
6 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
7 CHITADZE Lazare - - - 1% 8% 39% 53%
8 SHI Boris - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
9 HONG Derek - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
10 ZHOU Justin - - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
11 XU Rambert - - 4% 22% 47% 26% 1%
12 ZHAO Jason - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
13 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
14 ZHANG Hanson - - 2% 16% 44% 36% 1%
15 MORALES Tycho 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
16 ZHENG Lerui - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
17 WEBSTER Liam - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
18 MADDES Gage - 6% 26% 42% 25% 2%
19 MYERS Julian - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
20 DENG Albert 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% -
21 POLYZOIS Alkis 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
22 CHAN William 3% 20% 42% 29% 7% -
23 YOUNG Jack 1% 9% 31% 41% 18% 1%
23 WILLIAMS Thomas 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
25 FEEHAN Conor 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
26 CRONK Trevor 4% 24% 41% 24% 6% -
27 BLACK John 12% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
28 RAVIPATI Suryatej 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
29 JAKUBOVSKI Eric 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
29 CAVANAUGH Grey - 1% 14% 46% 34% 6%
31 NOTHIAS Sebastien 56% 37% 7% - - -
32 KOTCH Brodie 29% 47% 20% 3% - - -
33 WINTERS Linus 11% 41% 37% 10% 1% - -
34 MCLAUGHLIN Aleksandr (Sasha) 1% 10% 37% 44% 8% - -
35 MARVEL Elliot 4% 21% 39% 29% 7% 1% -
36 BODNER Nicholas 2% 16% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
37 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 8% 35% 42% 14% 1% - -
38 HICKMAN Noah - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
39 ALTENHOF Nathaniel 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
40 HALLETTMANES Ezra 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
41 ANDRIJASEVIC Dominic - < 1% 4% 20% 42% 32% 2%
42 MATIYASH Andrew 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
43 RITTER Nathan D. 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
44 ARANGO DE HERAS Samuel 1% 16% 37% 33% 12% 1%
45 GUO nathaniel < 1% 8% 47% 38% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.