Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Canlan Sports - Barrington, IL 60010, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 58% 13%
2 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
3 KAGAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
3 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
5 LI Andy 100% 100% 97% 77% 30% 3%
6 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
7 CHITADZE Lazare 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
8 SHI Boris 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
9 HONG Derek 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
10 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
11 XU Rambert 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26% 1%
12 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
13 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
14 ZHANG Hanson 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37% 1%
15 MORALES Tycho 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
16 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
17 WEBSTER Liam 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
18 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2%
19 MYERS Julian 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
20 DENG Albert 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
21 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
22 CHAN William 100% 97% 78% 36% 7% -
23 YOUNG Jack 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 1%
23 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
25 FEEHAN Conor 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
26 CRONK Trevor 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
27 BLACK John 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% -
28 RAVIPATI Suryatej 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
29 JAKUBOVSKI Eric 100% 93% 61% 22% 3% -
29 CAVANAUGH Grey 100% 100% 99% 85% 39% 6%
31 NOTHIAS Sebastien 100% 44% 7% - - -
32 KOTCH Brodie 100% 71% 23% 3% - - -
33 WINTERS Linus 100% 89% 48% 10% 1% - -
34 MCLAUGHLIN Aleksandr (Sasha) 100% 99% 89% 52% 8% - -
35 MARVEL Elliot 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1% -
36 BODNER Nicholas 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
37 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 100% 92% 57% 15% 1% - -
38 HICKMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
39 ALTENHOF Nathaniel 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
40 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
41 ANDRIJASEVIC Dominic 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 2%
42 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
43 RITTER Nathan D. 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
44 ARANGO DE HERAS Samuel 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%
45 GUO nathaniel 100% 100% 92% 45% 8% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.