Middlebury Open-30th Edition

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Brandon - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
3 GESENBERG Jonah S. - 1% 15% 47% 37%
3 KROLEWSKI Alexander 3% 19% 40% 31% 7%
5 YEE Charles E. - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
6 GRADY James - 5% 24% 44% 26%
7 ZHAO Brian 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
8 GOODMAN Elliott 21% 44% 28% 7% -
9 CHOY Ida - 8% 35% 41% 14% 2%
10 MCENTEE Owen 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
10 BERNARD Jonathan 19% 67% 14% 1% -
12 SENANI Arjun 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
13 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 5% 28% 43% 21% 3%
14 ELDER Justin 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
15 COFFIN Carleton - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
16 ABANILLA Luke 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
17 FOX Viveka R. - - 1% 16% 53% 30%
18 VO Jonathan 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
19 BUSH Thomas 1% 17% 44% 32% 6%
20 MACIK Axel 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
21 SHAW Guinevere L. 2% 19% 47% 27% 5% -
22 NGUYEN Thanh H. - 8% 32% 42% 18%
23 ANDERSON Connor 1% 13% 36% 37% 12%
24 MARCOUX Alexander 16% 41% 32% 10% 1%
25 PIZZUTO Sally 11% 34% 36% 16% 3%
26 HENTY Colton 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
28 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 31% 47% 19% 3% - -
29 ANNEAR Phillip 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
30 GALLAGHER Miranda 35% 44% 18% 3% -
31 RICHMOND Bridget 19% 44% 31% 6% - -
32 POPA David 4% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
33 SWIFT Monroe 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
34 KERINS Taber 36% 45% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.