Middlebury Open-30th Edition

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 GESENBERG Jonah S. 100% 100% 99% 84% 37%
3 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
5 YEE Charles E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
6 GRADY James 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
7 ZHAO Brian 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
8 GOODMAN Elliott 100% 79% 35% 7% -
9 CHOY Ida 100% 100% 92% 57% 16% 2%
10 MCENTEE Owen 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
10 BERNARD Jonathan 100% 81% 15% 1% -
12 SENANI Arjun 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
13 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 100% 95% 67% 24% 3%
14 ELDER Justin 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
15 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
16 ABANILLA Luke 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
17 FOX Viveka R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 30%
18 VO Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
19 BUSH Thomas 100% 99% 82% 38% 6%
20 MACIK Axel 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 2%
21 SHAW Guinevere L. 100% 98% 79% 32% 5% -
22 NGUYEN Thanh H. 100% 100% 91% 60% 18%
23 ANDERSON Connor 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
24 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 84% 43% 11% 1%
25 PIZZUTO Sally 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
26 HENTY Colton 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
28 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
29 ANNEAR Phillip 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
30 GALLAGHER Miranda 100% 65% 22% 3% -
31 RICHMOND Bridget 100% 81% 37% 6% - -
32 POPA David 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
33 SWIFT Monroe 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
34 KERINS Taber 100% 64% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.