United State Collegiate Club Championships 2025

Senior Women's Saber

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Center - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Siwen - - 1% 7% 28% 50% 15%
2 TUNG Renee 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2% < 1%
3 OWENS Celine A. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
3 SHIN Andrea Y. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
5 DANK Dina - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
6 SHIH Christina - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
6 CUI Yuru - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 11%
8 MURPHY-RACETTE Caroline - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
9 JAYARAM Archita 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% < 1%
10 BALMASEDA Sabrina F. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
11 OLMEN Kelsey 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% < 1% -
12 GOSALIA Nidhi - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
13 MANSPERGER Leena - - - 6% 27% 46% 21%
14 ATALAR Ceren - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
15 YUAN Erin 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
16 ARTMAN Abigail 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
17 CHU Laura - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
18 ESMER Ekin 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
19 PALISOUL Allison - - - 1% 13% 49% 37%
20 GAVALAS Daniella - - 1% 11% 39% 39% 10%
21 GHALI Anya - - 5% 28% 47% 19% 1%
22 SCHELLIN Anna - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
23 MORELAND Madison 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
24 BRIGGS Rose 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
25 BAKER Leigh 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
26 SULLIVAN Anna - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
27 QUINATA Francesca - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
28 MEYTIN Sophia E. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
29 WANG Erica - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
30 FRYMAN Isabel 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
31 ITO Anju - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
32 SAMOYLOV Elisaveta - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
33 MILLER Lorissa - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
34 HAQ Nylah 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
35 RANKA Avani - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
35 LOPEZ Emma - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
37 WOODBY Vivienne 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
38 BLESSING Katherine 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
39 WU XiaoAn - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
40 CAHILL Peyton - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
41 TRUDEAU Allison - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
42 DONG Zihan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
43 KIM Maxine A. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
44 WICKERSHAM Brooklyn - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
45 DIAZ Olenka - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
46 MARTINEZ Jenna 2% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
47 MORNINGSTAR Olivia - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
48 KOFMAN Angelina 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
48 KENNY Marilyn - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
50 ZHOU Deborah 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
51 KAELIN Marian - 3% 13% 29% 32% 19% 4%
52 LEE Elizabeth - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
53 JEON Grace 1% 7% 26% 41% 21% 4% -
54 KOENIG Audrey 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
55 YANG Lijia 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
56 PRICE Jesse - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
57 BRUCE Amiri 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
58 SMIRNOVA Aleksandra - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
59 HEATH Katy 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
59 LESTYAN Cat 24% 49% 24% 3% - - -
61 GRANNIS Amelia 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
62 OCONNOR Autumn 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
63 YAO Xubing 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
64 SILVERSMITH Sierra 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
65 OSMANY Noor - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
66 TAI Madeline - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
67 HOAGLAND Simone 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
68 MALAJ Kristela 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
69 TRAN Katie - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
70 OCHOA Ashley - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
71 BERRY Sophia 41% 45% 13% 1% - - -
72 HSU Aristaeus - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
73 SMITH Clara 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
74 BORGESON Abigail 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
75 PARK Lydia 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
76 MORTENSEN Elsa - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
77 LEAVITT Jane 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
78 HANSON Elizabeth 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
79 SUN Anna 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 10% 2%
79 COMPTON Liliana 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
81 CLARK Meghan 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
82 KUANG Krystal 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
83 WEBER Norah 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
84 BYEON Michelle 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
85 MURPHY Kyle 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
86 MICELLI Gabby - 12% 40% 37% 10% 1% -
87 SHAIKH Danyah - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
88 AARON Aneliese - 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
88 NEELY Isabelle 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
90 LIN Valentina - 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
90 SHAH Shilpi 2% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
92 PELLETIER Skylar 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
92 LARSEN Zoe 38% 46% 15% 2% - - -
94 PARGAN Makayla 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
95 WERE Aretha 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
96 LORCH Diana 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
97 SEO Sydney - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
98 JHA Navjot 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
99 SHIN Hyeri 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
100 LEE Sophia 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
100 HARADA Ellie 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
102 TANG Annie 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
103 GOMEZ Leslie 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
104 FEUDO Jamie 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
105 GUTMAN Lena 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
106 KARJANE Rylan 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
107 DE MOLA Marissa 7% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
107 PORTNOY Beth 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
109 MCKENNA Katelyn 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
110 WALTERS Rowan 3% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.