United State Collegiate Club Championships 2025

Senior Women's Saber

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Center - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 15%
2 TUNG Renee 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% < 1%
3 OWENS Celine A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
3 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
5 DANK Dina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
6 SHIH Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 CUI Yuru 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
8 MURPHY-RACETTE Caroline 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
9 JAYARAM Archita 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% < 1%
10 BALMASEDA Sabrina F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
11 OLMEN Kelsey 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% < 1% -
12 GOSALIA Nidhi 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
13 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
14 ATALAR Ceren 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
15 YUAN Erin 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
16 ARTMAN Abigail 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
17 CHU Laura 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
18 ESMER Ekin 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% 1%
19 PALISOUL Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
20 GAVALAS Daniella 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 10%
21 GHALI Anya 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 20% 1%
22 SCHELLIN Anna 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
23 MORELAND Madison 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
24 BRIGGS Rose 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
25 BAKER Leigh 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
26 SULLIVAN Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
27 QUINATA Francesca 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
28 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
29 WANG Erica 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
30 FRYMAN Isabel 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
31 ITO Anju 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
32 SAMOYLOV Elisaveta 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
33 MILLER Lorissa 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 3%
34 HAQ Nylah 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
35 RANKA Avani 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
35 LOPEZ Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
37 WOODBY Vivienne 100% 95% 74% 41% 13% 2% -
38 BLESSING Katherine 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
39 WU XiaoAn 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
40 CAHILL Peyton 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
41 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
42 DONG Zihan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
43 KIM Maxine A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
44 WICKERSHAM Brooklyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
45 DIAZ Olenka 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
46 MARTINEZ Jenna 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
47 MORNINGSTAR Olivia 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
48 KOFMAN Angelina 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 3%
48 KENNY Marilyn 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
50 ZHOU Deborah 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
51 KAELIN Marian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
52 LEE Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
53 JEON Grace 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 5% -
54 KOENIG Audrey 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
55 YANG Lijia 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
56 PRICE Jesse 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
57 BRUCE Amiri 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
58 SMIRNOVA Aleksandra 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
59 HEATH Katy 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
59 LESTYAN Cat 100% 76% 27% 3% - - -
61 GRANNIS Amelia 100% 99% 90% 63% 30% 8% 1%
62 OCONNOR Autumn 100% 95% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
63 YAO Xubing 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
64 SILVERSMITH Sierra 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
65 OSMANY Noor 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
66 TAI Madeline 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
67 HOAGLAND Simone 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
68 MALAJ Kristela 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
69 TRAN Katie 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
70 OCHOA Ashley 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
71 BERRY Sophia 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
72 HSU Aristaeus 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 19% 2%
73 SMITH Clara 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
74 BORGESON Abigail 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
75 PARK Lydia 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
76 MORTENSEN Elsa 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
77 LEAVITT Jane 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
78 HANSON Elizabeth 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
79 SUN Anna 100% 99% 90% 67% 36% 12% 2%
79 COMPTON Liliana 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
81 CLARK Meghan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
82 KUANG Krystal 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
83 WEBER Norah 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
84 BYEON Michelle 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
85 MURPHY Kyle 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
86 MICELLI Gabby 100% 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% -
87 SHAIKH Danyah 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
88 AARON Aneliese 100% 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1%
88 NEELY Isabelle 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
90 LIN Valentina 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
90 SHAH Shilpi 100% 98% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
92 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
92 LARSEN Zoe 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
94 PARGAN Makayla 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
95 WERE Aretha 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
96 LORCH Diana 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
97 SEO Sydney 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
98 JHA Navjot 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
99 SHIN Hyeri 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
100 LEE Sophia 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
100 HARADA Ellie 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
102 TANG Annie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
103 GOMEZ Leslie 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
104 FEUDO Jamie 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
105 GUTMAN Lena 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
106 KARJANE Rylan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
107 DE MOLA Marissa 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
107 PORTNOY Beth 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
109 MCKENNA Katelyn 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
110 WALTERS Rowan 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.