Rocket City

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 8:30 AM

UAH Fitness Center - Huntsville, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FORD Austin 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
2 CARRIE Konnor 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
3 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 EDWARDS John 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
5 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
6 MANNING Jackson 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% < 1%
7 CHAPPELL Lydia 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% -
8 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
9 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
10 HALVERSON Spencer 100% 99% 90% 53% 15% 1%
11 PARKS Robert 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
12 GOINS Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
13 BALDWIN Mike 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
14 LEPESQUEUR Hiago 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
15 BELL Leo P. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
16 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1%
17 KEMLE Brian 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
18 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
19 VOGT VON HESELHOLT Dr. Tobias 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 17%
20 BURRUSS Aaron 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 9%
21 POWERS Robert 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
22 PUVALOWSKI Ryan 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
23 ARNOLD Samuel 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
24 BUCHANAN Will 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
25 GOINS Isaac 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
26 VON KLAR Rhiannon 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
27 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
28 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 57% 14% 2% - -
29 SIMPSON Sophia 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
29 SINDBERG Ali 100% 97% 67% 27% 5% -
31 JERNIGAN Jacob 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
32 HARKNESS Luke 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% -
33 BULLER Chloe 100% 82% 15% 1% - -
34 CONCANNON Evelyn 100% 68% 15% 1% - -
35 PIERCE Robert 100% 100% 59% 14% 1% -
36 CSONTOS Alice 100% 73% 25% 4% - -
37 SAYLEE Madison-Pokey 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.