Middlebury Open-30th Edition

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 6, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUCHER Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 NUTOVYCH David 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
3 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
3 MIAN Ismail 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
6 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
7 GREGORY Nova 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 3%
8 MAY Ciaran 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
9 GLUSHKOV David 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
10 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1%
11 SONG Changze 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% -
12 HENTY Colton 100% 99% 85% 39% 7% -
13 LAMIRANDE Félix-Antoine 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
14 BOLDUC Patrice 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 13%
15 OSHIMA Robert 100% 89% 34% 5% - -
16 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
17 CRONIN Darragh J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
18 BIANCOSINO Kirin 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
19 NGUYEN Thanh H. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
20 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
21 TOBLER Eben 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
22 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
23 LELAND James (Jim) E. 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% -
24 SIALA Omar 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
25 WALTING Paul J. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
26 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3%
27 RUGGLES William R. 100% 100% 96% 66% 23% 3% -
28 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
29 GESENBERG Jonah S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
30 MISSERT Justin 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
31 BOYINGTON Bree 100% 94% 59% 19% 2% -
32 ABANILLA Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
33 MACDONALD William 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
34 GLAZER Adam 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
35 CAROLAN Garrett 100% 99% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
36 ELLIOTT Sophia 100% 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
37 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
38 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
39 LAROCHELLE Bastien 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 4%
40 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
41 D'SOUZA Carlisle (Charlie) J. 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
42 BAKERROUSE Toby 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
43 KROHN Daphne 100% 77% 28% 5% - - -
44 COBURN David 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
45 LUNIEVICZ Joseph P. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
46 CLERMONT Adrian 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
47 LAMOREAUX Zachariah P. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
48 COLLIER Samara 100% 33% 4% - - -
49 CLERMONT Chloe 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
50 HO Julie 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.