Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, April 11, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - < 1% 3% 27% 70%
2 POSSICK Lola P. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 KOVACS Sophia - - - - 2% 20% 77%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - - 9% 91%
6 LU Vivian Y. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
7 TSUI Natalie - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
8 ZHANG XUANYI - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
9 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - - 2% 26% 72%
10 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
11 NATH Trisha - - 3% 18% 41% 35% 2%
12 JUNG Irene - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
13 MALEK Zolie 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
14 JEONG Katie 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
15 FEIG Sela - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 5%
15 GHAYALOD reya 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5% -
17 HILD Nisha - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
18 KHAN Alissa 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
19 FAVO Isabella 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% 1%
20 FESTA Carina - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
21 VADASZ Ibla P. - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
22 KIM Marley I. 2% 15% 39% 37% 7%
23 MIKA Veronica - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
24 SCHMIDT Isabel - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
25 MANN Sophia J. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
25 ZOLLER Noelle 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
27 SHEARER Natalie E. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
28 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
29 YOUNG Charlotte G. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6% -
30 PAUL Lila - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
31 LEOU Korina 14% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
32 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
33 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
34 ATTIA Jasmine 7% 30% 41% 19% 2%
35 HUAI Delilah - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
36 LAURI Keira 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
37 FERNANDEZ Martina - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
38 GAUTAM Sahana 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
39 STAPLETON Lindsay K. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 26% 5%
40 KER Grace - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
41 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
42 LEE Hannah - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
43 LIU Sydney 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
44 ZENG Sarah 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
45 TSE Angelina - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
45 MAKLIN Sofia 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2% -
47 WANG Callie 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
48 TONG Kunling - - 3% 15% 38% 37% 6%
49 LIU Hannah 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
50 MCKEE Brynnley - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
51 LIU Sophie - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
52 WEI JoyAnn 4% 24% 41% 24% 6% 1%
53 DAI Olivia 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
54 SHEALY Maggie - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
55 CHIARELLI Valentina - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13% -
56 HSU Leah 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
57 OISHI Megumi - - 1% 8% 32% 48% 10%
58 WANG yining 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
59 LEE Alyson 10% 33% 35% 18% 4% - -
60 LI Alexis 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
61 GUGALA Hanna 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
62 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
63 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - 1% 7% 34% 59%
64 CHEN Elaine 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
65 WANG Elysia - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
66 BOIS Adele - 2% 12% 35% 38% 14%
67 CHAN Jolene 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
68 YANG Angelina LeLe - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
69 FUNG Iris 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
70 SAYLES Nina R. - - 5% 25% 44% 26%
71 DHAR Rana 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
72 DONG Angel 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
73 MACKAY Katherine 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
74 DANTULURI Shalini 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
75 LU Elaine - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 3%
76 JOHNSON Dagny L. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
77 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
78 JOHNSON Lydia 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
79 GOLOVITSER Maya 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
80 NAYAK Esha 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
80 YANG Lea 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
82 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
83 MUND Ruth 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
84 SHI Cathleen - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
85 LIN Elaine 23% 44% 27% 6% -
86 BARROSO Isabela 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
87 TAN Adelyn 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
88 HUANG Rachael 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
88 CONG Anne 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
90 LOMOTAN Addison 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
91 WONG Natalie 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
92 COLTER Aurora 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
93 KIM Satie 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
94 MARTURANO Bridget H. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
95 BUSH Bethany 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
96 FEARNS Zara A. - 1% 6% 22% 40% 27% 4%
97 CASTELO Soleil 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
98 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
98 CHAVAN Arya 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
100 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
100 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
100 DHAR Layla 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
103 NGUYEN Siena 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
104 TABANGAY Heartlyn 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5% -
105 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
106 OCA Merci 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
107 MERCHANT Aishwarya 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
108 WALLER London 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
109 SCOTT Eve 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
110 LIU kai yin aria 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
111 VESTEL Mira B. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
112 CHOI Charlotte 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
113 ERIKSON Kira R. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
113 BUHAY Kirsten M. 20% 37% 29% 11% 2% - -
113 WANG Jiayi 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
116 LIN Nicole 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
116 NG Sophia 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
118 DAMBAL Sasha 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
119 CALLAHAN Chase J. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
120 MOZHAEVA MARIA - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 4%
121 LEI Zitong (Meya) 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
122 LIM Jaslene 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
123 LO Chloe 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
124 XU Emily T. 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
124 HAMMERSTROM Aria 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
124 XIONG Haojiao 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
127 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
128 XIE Nora 22% 44% 28% 6% -
129 DIECK Miranda P. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
130 YUEN Nicole 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
131 UEMOTO Lynn 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
132 HU Michelle 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.