MFA Senior Mixed Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, April 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
3 CHIEM Karen 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% -
3 MA Ryan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
5 LI Grayson 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 1%
6 DENIER Frank 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
7 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 99% 91% 58% 15%
8 SANDELL Erik A. 100% 99% 83% 42% 10% -
9 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
10 ONGSITCO Mark L. 100% 100% 98% 80% 36%
11 BAUMAN Colin 100% 66% 21% 3% -
12 MCGUIRE Maximilien 100% 77% 31% 5% -
13 KUO Michael 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
14 MENG Fina 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
15 BURGSTONE Benjamin 100% 89% 53% 15% 1% -
16 PADKI Kürn 100% 53% 15% 2% - -
17 PERALTA SR. Christian 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.