Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, April 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
2 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 DERSHWITZ Eli R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
3 DENNER Max P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
5 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% 1%
6 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
7 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
8 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
9 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
10 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
11 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
12 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
13 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
14 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 7%
15 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
16 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
17 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
19 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 72%
20 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
21 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
22 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
23 HONG Rubin 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
24 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
25 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
26 OH Triton 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
27 LI Howard 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
28 PATEL Rayn 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
29 KANG Evan R. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
30 TSE Aiden J 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
31 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
32 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
33 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 3%
34 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
35 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
36 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
37 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 1%
38 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
39 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
40 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
41 KILARI Krish 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
42 TAO Jeffrey 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
42 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
44 ZHAO Lucas 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
45 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
46 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
47 NG Jonathan 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
48 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
49 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
50 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
51 LIM William J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
52 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
53 WANG Daniel 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
54 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 16%
54 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
56 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
57 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
58 HU Chris 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
59 YAN William 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
60 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
61 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
62 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 12%
63 LI Yiwei 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
64 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18% 1%
65 LIN Maxim 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
66 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 4%
67 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
68 LIU Kevin 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
69 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
70 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 5%
71 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
72 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
73 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11%
74 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4%
75 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
76 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
77 BOSITA Carson 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
78 KANG Evan 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% - -
79 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
80 KIM ELIJAH 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
81 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 2%
81 IM Tyler 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
83 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
83 REN James 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 1%
85 LAUB William 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
86 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
87 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
88 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
89 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
90 KIM Kendrick 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
91 FENG Leo 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% -
92 ANDRES Michael 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
92 LUHAN Zachary 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
92 CHUNG Connor 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1% -
95 KATZ Ryan 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
96 PI Alexander 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
97 CHOW William T. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
98 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
99 YANG Phillip 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
100 WANG Samuel 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1% -
101 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
102 HWANG Jayden 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
103 SUBA Lucas 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
104 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
104 KANG Matthew 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
106 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
107 SADHU Neiyam 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
108 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
108 RAMANAN Govind 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
110 GONG Jerry 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
111 CAO Oliver 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
112 BAUER Hank E. 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2% -
113 YANG Dylan 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% - -
114 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
115 WESLER Logan A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
116 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
117 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
118 CHON Collin 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
119 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
120 KIM Theodore 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
121 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
122 OH Aster 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
123 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
124 PAN Alex 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 1%
125 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1% -
126 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
127 ANAND Rohan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
128 HOLZ Lucas 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
129 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
130 SCHARDINE James 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
131 BARRIOS Diego 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
132 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
133 CHEN Jonathan 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
133 LI Ayden 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
135 YAN Kevin 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% - -
136 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
136 LEE Andrew 100% 84% 45% 13% 1% - -
138 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
139 STURGEON Cole 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
140 DECK Tyson 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
141 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
142 BYON Julian 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
142 WONG Lucas 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
144 WANG William 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
144 VAID Luke 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2% -
146 POFF Kainoa 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
147 SU Landon 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
148 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
149 GAY Jono 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
150 LIN Philip T. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
151 WAXLER Ryan 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
151 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.