The Colonel Melee

Div III Men's Épée

Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Ledyard High School - Ledyard, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BUCHAS James - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
2 WATERMAN Colton 15% 47% 31% 6% - -
3 BRASSARD Calvin - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
4 PEZZINO Matthew 13% 44% 36% 7% < 1% -
5 HILLEGEIST Ash 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
6 WHITE Aidan - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
7 DINSMORE Elliot 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
8 HARRIS Noah 2% 17% 49% 27% 5% -
9 LEVESQUE Maxwell J. 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
10 PAGE Duncan - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
11 CROTTY James 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
12 SIMONDS Benjamin - 3% 19% 40% 31% 6%
13 BOISLARD Jacob R. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
14 WESTON AARON - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
15 CUFF Joe 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
16 PEARSALL Riley C. - < 1% 6% 29% 51% 14%
17 SHUMAN Lily 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
18 ENGLAND Aiden 41% 42% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.