The Colonel Melee

Div III Men's Foil

Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Ledyard High School - Ledyard, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 QUAN Noah 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
2 TIBBETTS Justin - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
3 REARDON Patrick M. - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
4 HARRIS Noah - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
5 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
6 COFFIN Carleton - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
7 ASKEW Yuki 5% 28% 44% 21% 3% -
8 BRAWN Gavin 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
9 BUCHAS James - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
10 JENNINGS Aden - 7% 31% 39% 19% 3%
11 ARSHAD Mohsin 2% 37% 41% 17% 3% -
12 UNDAG Anthony - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
13 JEFF Ariff - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
14 HOWARD Mekai 74% 24% 2% - - -
15 HECK John - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
15 LEWIS Lochlan 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
17 DEXTER Zebulon 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
18 CRUZ Cameron 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.