American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, April 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 XU Elaine - - - 3% 22% 59% 16%
3 YOUNG Sienna - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
3 ZHAO Selena - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
5 WANG JiaQi - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
6 HU Heidi - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
7 WANG MONA - 1% 5% 23% 42% 27% 3%
8 NEMORIN Rei - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
9 MULLER Inara - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
10 ZHANG Ashley - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
10 ILICHEVA Adriana 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
12 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
13 YANG Felicia - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
14 LI Tira - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
15 TANG YILUN - - - - 2% 20% 78%
16 OLESKY Ellie - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
17 MALUKI Nia - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
18 LIU Stephanie - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
19 PEREIRA Izumi - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
20 LI Tiffany - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 15%
21 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - 3% 23% 67% 6%
22 IORDANOVA Vela - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
23 CHAU Zoey - 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
24 TA-ZHOU Sophia - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
25 WANG Emily - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
26 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
27 POWERS Waverly - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
28 MACHIRAJU Ishita 3% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
29 ZHENG Winona - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
30 LAU Angela 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
31 GUERVILLE Angelique 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
32 GU Allison 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
33 VARAH Alaia - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
34 KABILING Anika Von Marie - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
35 WANG Chloe 2% 17% 39% 33% 8% 1% -
36 LAMTAN Trinity - 5% 18% 32% 30% 14% 2%
37 KONDE Anika 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
38 MENON Maya - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
39 LEE Elise - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
39 DANIELS Jordanna - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
41 AN Jasmine 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
42 WU Harper 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3% -
43 ONO Lisa 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
44 TSIPORUKHA Arie - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
45 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
46 MOFFITT Charlotte - 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
47 CAO Audrey 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
48 YIN Xizi 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
49 CHEN Charlotte - - - 4% 22% 48% 25%
50 JIN Eileen 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
51 JOSEPH Azalée - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
52 FENG chloe 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
53 FREY Elise 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
54 WU Abigail 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
55 PAREEK Aeshna 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
56 WU Jing 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
57 LI Gloria 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
58 RADELL Zoe 8% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
59 BREWSTER Ayaki - 5% 22% 41% 29% 3% -
60 ARGUELLO Camilla 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
61 LIANG Katherine 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
62 ROMEO lia 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
63 ONG Katherine 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
64 PUR-RASHID Kiva 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
65 YI Victoria 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
66 LIM Charlotte - - 1% 9% 35% 40% 14%
67 JUILLERAT Tabea - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
68 PURITZ Morgan 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
69 QUIROS Lucia 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
70 LIU Alyssa 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
71 PORTNOY Elizabeth 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
72 OTAZU Clara 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
73 CHEN Chloe - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
74 WANG Keira - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
75 RAGAVENDRAN Hasini 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
76 CHANG Grace 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
77 SCHWARTZ Delphine 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
78 POTDAR Harper 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
79 MOSHAROVA Natalia 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
80 LIM Isabella - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
81 ARANGO Ivanna 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
81 EDUSA Nayelli 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
83 AVDEEV Katherine 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
84 ATA Emily 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
85 RAZIANO Collins 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
86 SARBU Esme 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
87 GAO Anita 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
88 MADDISON Estelle 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
89 DY Azurie 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
90 KIM Chloe 63% 31% 5% - - - -
90 LASS Genevieve 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.