American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, April 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 16%
3 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
3 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
5 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
6 HU Heidi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
7 WANG MONA 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
8 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
9 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
10 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
12 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
13 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
14 LI Tira 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
15 TANG YILUN 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
16 OLESKY Ellie 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
17 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
18 LIU Stephanie 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
19 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
20 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
21 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 6%
22 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
23 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
24 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
25 WANG Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
26 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
27 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
28 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
29 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
30 LAU Angela 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
31 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
32 GU Allison 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
33 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
34 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
35 WANG Chloe 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1% -
36 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
37 KONDE Anika 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
38 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
39 LEE Elise 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
39 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 21% 3%
41 AN Jasmine 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
42 WU Harper 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
43 ONO Lisa 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
44 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
45 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
46 MOFFITT Charlotte 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
47 CAO Audrey 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
48 YIN Xizi 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
49 CHEN Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
50 JIN Eileen 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
51 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
52 FENG chloe 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
53 FREY Elise 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
54 WU Abigail 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
55 PAREEK Aeshna 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
56 WU Jing 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
57 LI Gloria 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
58 RADELL Zoe 100% 92% 52% 16% 3% - -
59 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 3% -
60 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
61 LIANG Katherine 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
62 ROMEO lia 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
63 ONG Katherine 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
64 PUR-RASHID Kiva 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
65 YI Victoria 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
66 LIM Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
67 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
68 PURITZ Morgan 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
69 QUIROS Lucia 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
70 LIU Alyssa 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
71 PORTNOY Elizabeth 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
72 OTAZU Clara 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
73 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
74 WANG Keira 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
75 RAGAVENDRAN Hasini 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
76 CHANG Grace 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
77 SCHWARTZ Delphine 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
78 POTDAR Harper 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
79 MOSHAROVA Natalia 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
80 LIM Isabella 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
81 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
81 EDUSA Nayelli 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
83 AVDEEV Katherine 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
84 ATA Emily 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
85 RAZIANO Collins 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
86 SARBU Esme 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
87 GAO Anita 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
88 MADDISON Estelle 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
89 DY Azurie 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
90 KIM Chloe 100% 37% 6% - - - -
90 LASS Genevieve 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.