American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, April 18, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIVIJI Ali - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 ZHANG Kaixuan - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 WONG Mac - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 2%
5 SRIVATS Vedh - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
6 LIU Ethan - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
7 WANG Edward - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
8 MELE Gianni - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 5%
9 VALENCIA Jose - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
10 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 2% 19% 80%
11 LIN Brendan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
12 LAMTAN Christoffer - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
13 AGARWAAL Yohan - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
14 LIU Marvin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8%
15 KOZLOV Lucas - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
16 WANG Theodore - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
17 MCDONALD Finn - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
18 WONG Max - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
19 DAI Zihou - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
20 YI Andrew - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
21 SALDARINI Glenn - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
22 ZWAKA Jonas - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
23 BERKOWITZ Gavin - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
24 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 3% 16% 36% 36% 9%
25 LIU Ryan - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
26 WANG Alex - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
27 CRAWFORD William 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
28 LOO Jason - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
29 LUCAS William - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
30 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
31 SHAPIRO Simon - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
32 LYU Tyler 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
33 BARENBOYM Michael - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 10%
34 RINALDI Savio - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
35 ZHAO Royce - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
36 ONG Dylan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
37 LEE Ryan - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8%
38 CHAVAN Aditya 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
39 TAYCHER Aaron - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
40 SAGE Nikolai - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
41 WONG Reagan 3% 21% 38% 29% 9% 1%
42 MATTOO Dhruv 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4%
43 HU Harry Jiming 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
44 CHEN Brendan - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
45 LORENZ Evan - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
46 ZHANG Aiden 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
48 MIAO Heqi - 1% 5% 22% 40% 29% 4%
49 JI Johnson - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
50 HU Harry - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
51 LEVIN Jacob - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
52 LEE Damian 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
53 WANG ARAN 6% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
54 CHANG Timothy 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
54 LUAN Stephen - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
56 BADMUS Joshua - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
57 CHEN Felix 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
58 HOUPT Lucas 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
59 SUH Leo - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
60 D'AMELJ Edoardo 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
61 SO Morgan - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
62 ZHANG Simon 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
63 PADANILAM Thomas 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
64 LEE Ivan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
65 KIM Junseong - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
66 LYU SIYI - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
67 SUN Ryan - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
68 LEVY Daniel - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
69 LI Lucas 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
70 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
71 DOSTAL Maximilian - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
72 SAYAR Luke - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
73 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
74 PANCHERI Matteo - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
75 LIANG Morgan - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
76 NARAYAN Rishi 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
77 LAU Kyrus - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
78 HU Jayden - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
79 TASIKAS Peter 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
80 SANTIAGO Roman 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
81 BIVIJI Adam - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
82 CHAN Ewan 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
83 BEAL Colton - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
84 TERENTIEV Michael 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
85 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
85 DY Azriel 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
87 LIU Jayden 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
88 MAKLIN David 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
89 WU Vincent 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
90 SUN Stephen - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
91 HE Nolan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
92 BURENKOV Matthew 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
93 LI Michael 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
94 STOLCKE Julian 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
96 ZHENG Lucas 2% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
97 SONG Aidan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
98 FOUX Jonathan 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
99 SOKOLOV Lucas 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
100 LIEBOWITZ Carson - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
101 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
102 HOWARTH Hayes 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
102 MOGUNOV Alan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
104 ZHANG Joseph 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
104 YANG LOUIS 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
106 PIPKE Garrett 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
107 LLOYD Max - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
108 LEISTNER Armin 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
109 MHLEY Gavin 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
110 BROOKS Drake 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
111 PARK Sean 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
112 HENDERSON Louis - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 10%
113 MESSINGER Joshua 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
114 TANJGA Luka 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
115 CHERNAEV Antonio 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
116 WANG Harrison 30% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
117 TITOV Zachary 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
118 O'KEEFE Brody 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
119 PARK Layne 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
120 KUSHKOV Michael 5% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
121 SPENCER-EL Elijah 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
122 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
123 GAYTAN Antonio 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
124 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 27% 47% 21% 4% - - -
125 CONG Mason 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
126 LI Kent 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
127 CUSSON William 23% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
128 HUANG Anthony 28% 47% 21% 4% - - -
129 BURNS Carson 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
130 SONG Jerry 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
131 BROOKS Isaac 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
132 KULKARNI Ishir 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
132 SONG Ryan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
134 HUANG KIMBALL 32% 47% 18% 3% - - -
135 WANG Muzhou 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
136 BRADY Jack 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
137 LEE Jeffrey 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
138 PARROCO Andrew 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
138 DAI Ethan 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
140 ZHANG Howard 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
140 VISH Manyu 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
142 MARTIRE Francis 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
142 GAW Zachary 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
144 WEI Hunter 5% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
145 LEE Davis 34% 48% 16% 2% - - -
146 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
146 GAW Christian 37% 44% 16% 2% - - -
148 PAREEK Ishaan 2% 20% 41% 29% 7% 1%
149 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 38% 42% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.