American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, April 18, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 WONG Mac 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
5 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
6 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
7 WANG Edward 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
8 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
9 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
10 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
11 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
12 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 8%
13 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
14 LIU Marvin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
15 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
16 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
17 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
18 WONG Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
19 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
20 YI Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
21 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
22 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
23 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
24 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
25 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
26 WANG Alex 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
27 CRAWFORD William 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
28 LOO Jason 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
29 LUCAS William 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 19%
30 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
31 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
32 LYU Tyler 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
33 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
34 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
35 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
36 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
37 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
38 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
39 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
40 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
41 WONG Reagan 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1%
42 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
43 HU Harry Jiming 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
44 CHEN Brendan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
45 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
46 ZHANG Aiden 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
48 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
49 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
50 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
51 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
52 LEE Damian 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
53 WANG ARAN 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
54 CHANG Timothy 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
54 LUAN Stephen 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
56 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
57 CHEN Felix 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
58 HOUPT Lucas 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
59 SUH Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 4%
60 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
61 SO Morgan 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
62 ZHANG Simon 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
63 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
64 LEE Ivan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
65 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
66 LYU SIYI 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
67 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
68 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
69 LI Lucas 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
70 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
71 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
72 SAYAR Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
73 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
74 PANCHERI Matteo 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
75 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
76 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
77 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8%
78 HU Jayden 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
79 TASIKAS Peter 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
80 SANTIAGO Roman 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
81 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 29% 6%
82 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% 1%
83 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
84 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
85 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
85 DY Azriel 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
87 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
88 MAKLIN David 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
89 WU Vincent 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
90 SUN Stephen 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
91 HE Nolan 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
92 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
93 LI Michael 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
94 STOLCKE Julian 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
96 ZHENG Lucas 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
97 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
98 FOUX Jonathan 100% 94% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
99 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
100 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
101 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
102 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
102 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
104 ZHANG Joseph 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
104 YANG LOUIS 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
106 PIPKE Garrett 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
107 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% 1%
108 LEISTNER Armin 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
109 MHLEY Gavin 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
110 BROOKS Drake 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
111 PARK Sean 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
112 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
113 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
114 TANJGA Luka 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
115 CHERNAEV Antonio 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
116 WANG Harrison 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
117 TITOV Zachary 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
118 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
119 PARK Layne 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
120 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
121 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
122 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
123 GAYTAN Antonio 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
124 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 73% 26% 5% - - -
125 CONG Mason 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
126 LI Kent 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
127 CUSSON William 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
128 HUANG Anthony 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
129 BURNS Carson 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
130 SONG Jerry 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% -
131 BROOKS Isaac 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
132 KULKARNI Ishir 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
132 SONG Ryan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
134 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 68% 21% 3% - - -
135 WANG Muzhou 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 3% -
136 BRADY Jack 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
137 LEE Jeffrey 100% 51% 12% 2% - -
138 PARROCO Andrew 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
138 DAI Ethan 100% 64% 18% 3% - - -
140 ZHANG Howard 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
140 VISH Manyu 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
142 MARTIRE Francis 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
142 GAW Zachary 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
144 WEI Hunter 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
145 LEE Davis 100% 66% 18% 2% - - -
146 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
146 GAW Christian 100% 63% 18% 3% - - -
148 PAREEK Ishaan 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% 1%
149 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 62% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.