American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Kyle P. - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
2 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 1% 8% 34% 44% 13%
3 TANG Alexander L. - - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
3 LEE Brendan - - - - 4% 27% 69%
5 TANG Albert - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
6 TIKHAEV Alexander - - - 5% 22% 46% 27%
7 KAPOOR Aayan - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
8 LU Andy - - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
9 LI Aaron - - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
10 XU Ethan - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
11 MYERS Dean - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
12 CHEN Nuo - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
13 JIN Andy 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
14 BLACK Zachary - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
15 CHEN Hanson - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
16 LEE Jonah - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
17 SHAPIRO Leon - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
18 MILLER Jordan - 1% 13% 39% 37% 10%
19 WANG Rory - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
20 LI Arvin - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
21 CHEN Ethan - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
22 ZHENG Marcus - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 3%
23 YEVDAYEV Tamir 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
24 AKYAMAC Bora - - 4% 22% 45% 30%
25 CHENG Logan - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
26 ZAIDI Adil - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 2%
27 LIM Charlie 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
28 WEI Winston 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
29 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
30 JIMENEZ Naveen - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
31 BOURGUIGNAT James 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
32 TOOMRE Kai 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
33 FENG Michael - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
34 ARCE Andrew W. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
35 ZHEN Ethan - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
36 SIMONOV Timofey - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 16%
37 YAP Nathan - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
37 LIU Aaron 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
39 ZENG Rick - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
40 TANG Terry 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
41 HUANG Eythan - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
42 LYNCH Owen C. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
43 BAKSHI Aman - 5% 25% 45% 21% 3% -
43 CHO Jadon Yushin - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
45 HUANG Holmes (Shengheng) - - 3% 19% 45% 28% 4%
46 MILLER Dillon - - 3% 18% 38% 33% 8%
47 JURMAN Therin - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
48 GUO Justin - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
49 BAI Brian - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
50 CHOI Benjamin 2% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
51 FANG Haoyu 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
52 XIE Jicheng 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
53 MAO Lucas - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 7%
54 ORLOV Dmitriy - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
55 WAYBRIGHT Matteo - 7% 26% 36% 24% 6% -
56 TSAY Jordan R. 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
57 BAI Austin 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
58 LI Ayren - 4% 20% 39% 30% 8%
59 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 18% 45% 29% 8% 1% -
60 HAN Alexander - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
61 BELCHAMBER Mason 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
62 HOLLIS Sean - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
63 MARISI Gabriel 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
64 HART-SYED declan 12% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
65 TANG August L. - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
66 SENANI Arjun - 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
67 HUA Aaron - - 6% 27% 39% 22% 4%
68 CHA James - 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
69 SHANNON Jack - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
70 JIANG Bowang - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
71 WONG Jacob W. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
72 HOLMES Alexiy - 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
73 KWON Chase 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
74 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
75 ONIK Ari N. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
76 STAFFORD Gareth 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
77 CHEN mitchell lixuan - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
78 ZHANG GAVIN J 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
79 PETINO Leonardo 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
80 MIRCHANDANI Aditya 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
81 SUN Henry 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
82 CAO Justin - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
83 CHEN I Ning 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
84 LI Tristan 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
85 SHAW Spencer 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
85 MCCARTHY Hudson 21% 56% 21% 2% - - -
85 SOBON Jason - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
88 SFINTESCU Alex 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
89 XU Dinghui Ryan 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
90 SABATINO Patrick 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
91 LAO Kevin 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
92 SUSANTO William 2% 15% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
93 LEE Charles T 1% 11% 42% 35% 11% 1%
94 CHO Xzander 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 1%
95 JABLOKOV Roman 40% 48% 11% 1% - -
96 CHANG Zane 35% 50% 14% 1% - -
97 DIAZ Gabriel 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
98 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
99 CARBONELL Ryan 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
100 FAN Sean 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
101 WEI JR Shan 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
102 POWELL Sean 1% 12% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
103 GODIN Willis 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
103 CHUN Zachary 5% 28% 45% 20% 3% - -
105 CHANG Xavier 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
105 CHAN Vincent 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
107 CHEN Junyu 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
107 WANG Xicheng 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
109 XU Ryan 5% 58% 31% 6% 1% - -
110 WEBSTER Declan 19% 48% 27% 5% - - -
111 REN Ryan 20% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
112 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 30% 46% 20% 4% - - -
113 PLASTARAS Trey < 1% 3% 17% 36% 34% 11%
114 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 60% 33% 6% - - -
115 NAM Justin 59% 36% 5% - - - -
116 SUMIN Yang 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
117 LINGAMPALLI Sashank 90% 10% - - - - -
118 BLACK Henry 66% 29% 5% - - -
119 AYYAGARI Abhiram 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
120 CHENG Andrew 73% 23% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.