American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
2 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 13%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 32%
3 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
5 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
6 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
7 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
8 LU Andy 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
9 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
10 XU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
11 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
12 CHEN Nuo 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
13 JIN Andy 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
14 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
15 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
16 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
17 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23%
18 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
19 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
20 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
21 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
22 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
23 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
24 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
25 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
26 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
27 LIM Charlie 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
28 WEI Winston 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
29 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
30 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
31 BOURGUIGNAT James 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
32 TOOMRE Kai 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
33 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
34 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
35 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
36 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
37 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
37 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
39 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
40 TANG Terry 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
41 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
42 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
43 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 95% 70% 25% 4% -
43 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
45 HUANG Holmes (Shengheng) 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 4%
46 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
47 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% 1%
48 GUO Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
49 BAI Brian 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
50 CHOI Benjamin 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1%
51 FANG Haoyu 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
52 XIE Jicheng 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
53 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 7%
54 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
55 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
56 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
57 BAI Austin 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
58 LI Ayren 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
59 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% -
60 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
61 BELCHAMBER Mason 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
62 HOLLIS Sean 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
63 MARISI Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
64 HART-SYED declan 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
65 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
66 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
67 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
68 CHA James 100% 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
69 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
70 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
71 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 7% 1%
72 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% -
73 KWON Chase 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
74 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
75 ONIK Ari N. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
76 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% -
77 CHEN mitchell lixuan 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
78 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
79 PETINO Leonardo 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
80 MIRCHANDANI Aditya 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
81 SUN Henry 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
82 CAO Justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
83 CHEN I Ning 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
84 LI Tristan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
85 SHAW Spencer 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
85 MCCARTHY Hudson 100% 79% 23% 3% - - -
85 SOBON Jason 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
88 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
89 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
90 SABATINO Patrick 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
91 LAO Kevin 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
92 SUSANTO William 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
93 LEE Charles T 100% 99% 88% 46% 12% 1%
94 CHO Xzander 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
95 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 60% 12% 1% - -
96 CHANG Zane 100% 65% 16% 2% - -
97 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
98 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
99 CARBONELL Ryan 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
100 FAN Sean 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
101 WEI JR Shan 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
102 POWELL Sean 100% 99% 87% 45% 12% 2% -
103 GODIN Willis 100% 82% 40% 11% 2% - -
103 CHUN Zachary 100% 95% 67% 23% 3% - -
105 CHANG Xavier 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
105 CHAN Vincent 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
107 CHEN Junyu 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
107 WANG Xicheng 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
109 XU Ryan 100% 95% 37% 7% 1% - -
110 WEBSTER Declan 100% 81% 33% 6% - - -
111 REN Ryan 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
112 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
113 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
114 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 40% 7% - - -
115 NAM Justin 100% 41% 5% - - - -
116 SUMIN Yang 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
117 LINGAMPALLI Sashank 100% 10% - - - - -
118 BLACK Henry 100% 34% 5% - - -
119 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
120 CHENG Andrew 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.