American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Luca - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
2 ALUF William - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 LEE Aiden - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
3 SUN Leonard 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
5 TERENTIEV Michael - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
6 HU Simon - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
7 GILBERT Ari - - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
8 LAN Jasper - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
9 YI Andrew - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
10 SUH Jordan - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
11 WANG Russell - - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
12 SOLEJ Miles - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
13 ZHANG Mark - 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
14 ZHAO Alexander - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
15 MOROAICA Seiku - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
16 KIM Colin 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
17 SABINO Bennett - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
18 ZHANG Leon - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
19 FERNAINE Thomas 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
20 RINALDI Benigno - - 5% 23% 45% 26%
21 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
22 TAK Kion 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
23 IP Hunter - - 2% 13% 37% 41% 7%
24 ARUN Viyaan - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
25 HEILMANN Christian - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
26 TAK Sion 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
27 MANGINI Lorenzo 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2%
28 JIA Francis - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
29 HEILMANN Caleb - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
30 LEVY Rafa 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
31 MEROLLA Luca - 1% 5% 20% 40% 29% 6%
32 LEE Augustine 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
33 HUANG Max 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
34 LI Derek - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
35 FUNG Emerson 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
36 GHIM Ethan - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
37 KATZ Isaac 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
38 CHEN Ryan 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
39 KWON Joon 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
40 GENTELA Pradyumna 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
41 ATA Kevin - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
42 WONG Jacob 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
43 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
44 FRANTZ Ken - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
45 XU Jayden 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
46 PALERMO Evan 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
47 QIAO Jason 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
48 PARRISH Lucien 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
49 LI Nathan 2% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
50 BROOKS Grant 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
51 LIANG Henry 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
52 KIM Samuel 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
53 JOHN Christian - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
54 ADOLPHUS March - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
55 JAVAID Ibrahim - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
56 MULCAHEY Kieran 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
57 KULJIEV Boyan 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
58 VINCENT Yian - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
59 TERNG Peter 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
60 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
61 OLSON Prescott < 1% 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
62 WANG Yunzhou 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
63 TAUR Marcus 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
64 GOEL Edrian 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
65 GUO Zi-Yang - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
66 WONG Myles - 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
67 GU Gordon 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
68 LASS Edward 17% 45% 30% 7% 1% - -
69 SMOOT Ari 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
70 KIM Daniel 43% 41% 13% 2% - -
71 SKOLNIK Leo < 1% 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
72 HUI Nicholas 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
72 KO Logan 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
74 ZHANG Ethan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
75 SASSI Skander 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.