American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
2 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
3 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
5 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
7 GILBERT Ari 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
8 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
9 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
10 SUH Jordan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
11 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
12 SOLEJ Miles 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
13 ZHANG Mark 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
14 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
15 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 8%
16 KIM Colin 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
17 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
18 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
19 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
20 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
21 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
22 TAK Kion 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
23 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 7%
24 ARUN Viyaan 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
25 HEILMANN Christian 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
26 TAK Sion 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
27 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 99% 92% 69% 37% 11% 2%
28 JIA Francis 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
29 HEILMANN Caleb 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
30 LEVY Rafa 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
31 MEROLLA Luca 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 6%
32 LEE Augustine 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
33 HUANG Max 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
34 LI Derek 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
35 FUNG Emerson 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
36 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
37 KATZ Isaac 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
38 CHEN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
39 KWON Joon 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
40 GENTELA Pradyumna 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
41 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
42 WONG Jacob 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
43 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
44 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
45 XU Jayden 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
46 PALERMO Evan 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
47 QIAO Jason 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
48 PARRISH Lucien 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
49 LI Nathan 100% 98% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
50 BROOKS Grant 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
51 LIANG Henry 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
52 KIM Samuel 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
53 JOHN Christian 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
54 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
55 JAVAID Ibrahim 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
56 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
57 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
58 VINCENT Yian 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
59 TERNG Peter 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
60 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
61 OLSON Prescott 100% 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
62 WANG Yunzhou 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
63 TAUR Marcus 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
64 GOEL Edrian 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
65 GUO Zi-Yang 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
66 WONG Myles 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
67 GU Gordon 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
68 LASS Edward 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% - -
69 SMOOT Ari 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
70 KIM Daniel 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
71 SKOLNIK Leo 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
72 HUI Nicholas 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
72 KO Logan 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
74 ZHANG Ethan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
75 SASSI Skander 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.