American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
2 WANG MONA 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 1%
3 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 12%
5 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
7 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
8 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
9 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
10 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
11 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
12 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
13 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8%
14 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
15 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
16 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3%
17 LI Tira 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
18 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
19 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
20 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
21 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
22 LIU Teresa 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
23 CAI Xinyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
23 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 34%
25 XU Elaine 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
26 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
27 NG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
28 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
29 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 9% 1%
30 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
31 YOUNG Sienna 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% -
32 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
33 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
34 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
35 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
36 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
37 LIU Stephanie 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
38 JOHNSON Neema 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
39 LEE Grace 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
40 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
40 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
42 STOLCKE Saskia 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
43 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
44 LI Yuluo 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
45 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
46 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 5% -
47 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
48 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
49 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
50 KANG Soeun 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
51 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
52 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
53 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
54 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9%
55 GU Allison 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
56 JUNG Elise 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
57 HU Heidi 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
58 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
59 SMITH Genevieve 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
60 KIM Eunjae 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
61 ZHANG Audrey 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1%
62 YIN Xizi 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
63 ONO Lisa 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
64 YOON Sela 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
65 WU Harper 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
66 CHAU Zoey 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
67 DATLA Aanya 100% 88% 44% 9% 1% -
68 LI Tiffany 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
69 WEI Madison 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
70 WANG Keira 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
71 YANG Felicia 100% 97% 70% 27% 4% -
72 OLESKY Ellie 100% 100% 95% 68% 17% 1%
73 NARAYANAN Sinduja 100% 94% 61% 20% 2% -
74 WANG Chloe 100% 96% 65% 23% 3% -
75 POWERS Waverly 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
76 HAGN Luna 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
77 FONG Zoe 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
78 SHI Chuqing 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
79 CHEN Victoria 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
79 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
81 SAGER Bianca 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
82 BUCCINO Sloane 100% 26% 3% - - -
83 LEE Jiyoung 100% 68% 22% 4% - -
84 SU JOSERINE 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
85 WEI Avril 100% 96% 68% 26% 4% -
86 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% -
87 QUIROS Lucia 100% 95% 64% 18% 1% -
88 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
90 WANG Selina 100% 79% 30% 6% - - -
90 TASSONE Charlie 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
92 LIAO Amber 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
93 LIM Isabella 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
94 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
94 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
94 JEON Kristen 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
97 CHAN Isla 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
98 SHUMAN Ana 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
99 GOLEN Grace 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
100 UPBIN Olivia 100% 43% 7% - - -
101 LIM Charlotte 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
102 DILALLO Olivia 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
102 SVIDER Elle 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
104 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
105 LIN Laura 100% 31% 4% - - -
106 CAO Audrey 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.