American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MULLER Inara - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
2 WANG MONA - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18% 1%
3 CHOI Charlotte - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
3 CHANG Norah - - 2% 11% 33% 43% 12%
5 DAVIDOVA Kira - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
6 WANG Callie - - - - 2% 23% 75%
7 BAIK Sarah - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
8 GONG Joy - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
9 ZHENG Winona - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
10 KWON Ava - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
11 SEO Kaitlyn - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
12 VATS Ishita - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
13 IANNUZZI Lucy - 2% 14% 39% 37% 8%
14 SUNG Olivia - 1% 8% 32% 46% 13%
15 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
16 DUTA Lyra - 5% 25% 43% 24% 3%
17 LI Tira 1% 9% 29% 36% 21% 4%
18 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
19 FUNG Iris - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
20 BORGUETA Madison - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
21 JOHN Sophia - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
22 LIU Teresa 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
23 CAI Xinyi - - - 6% 35% 59%
23 NADKARNI Marisa - - 1% 14% 51% 34%
25 XU Elaine - 2% 11% 33% 40% 15%
26 SEVASTOPULO Sahra - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
27 NG Sophia - - 1% 4% 20% 43% 32%
28 ZHAO Selena - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8%
29 PEREIRA Izumi 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
30 REN Katherine - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
31 YOUNG Sienna 3% 25% 43% 24% 5% -
32 HUANG Doris - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
33 WONG Charlene - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 13%
34 NEMORIN Rei - - 1% 10% 47% 42%
35 MACKAY Katherine - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
36 NANDA Maanika - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 13%
37 LIU Stephanie - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
38 JOHNSON Neema - 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
39 LEE Grace 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 3%
40 WU Yuwei - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
40 GONZALEZ Veronika - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
42 STOLCKE Saskia 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
43 WANG JiaQi - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 13%
44 LI Yuluo - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
45 PARK Haylie - 1% 6% 24% 41% 26% 2%
46 YERENKOVA Ameliia 1% 7% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
47 PHILLIPPY Hannah 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
48 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
49 LIANG Claire 1% 10% 33% 40% 15% 1%
50 KANG Soeun 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1%
51 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
52 LEE Kaitlin - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
53 ILAGAN Ava - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
54 FOSS Persephone - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
55 GU Allison 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
56 JUNG Elise 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
57 HU Heidi - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
58 IORDANOVA Vela 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
59 SMITH Genevieve 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
60 KIM Eunjae 7% 30% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
61 ZHANG Audrey 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
62 YIN Xizi 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
63 ONO Lisa 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
64 YOON Sela - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
65 WU Harper 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
66 CHAU Zoey 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
67 DATLA Aanya 12% 44% 36% 8% 1% -
68 LI Tiffany 1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
69 WEI Madison - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
70 WANG Keira 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
71 YANG Felicia 3% 27% 43% 23% 4% -
72 OLESKY Ellie - 4% 27% 51% 16% 1%
73 NARAYANAN Sinduja 6% 33% 41% 18% 2% -
74 WANG Chloe 4% 31% 42% 19% 3% -
75 POWERS Waverly 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
76 HAGN Luna 5% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
77 FONG Zoe 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
78 SHI Chuqing 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
79 CHEN Victoria - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
79 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
81 SAGER Bianca 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
82 BUCCINO Sloane 74% 23% 3% - - -
83 LEE Jiyoung 32% 45% 19% 3% - -
84 SU JOSERINE 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
85 WEI Avril 4% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
86 JUILLERAT Tabea 2% 26% 42% 24% 6% -
87 QUIROS Lucia 5% 32% 46% 16% 1% -
88 ARGUELLO Camilla 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
90 WANG Selina 21% 48% 25% 5% - - -
90 TASSONE Charlie 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
92 LIAO Amber 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
93 LIM Isabella 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
94 NAKATA Gwyneth 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
94 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 15% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
94 JEON Kristen 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
97 CHAN Isla 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
98 SHUMAN Ana 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
99 GOLEN Grace 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
100 UPBIN Olivia 57% 36% 6% - - -
101 LIM Charlotte 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
102 DILALLO Olivia 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
102 SVIDER Elle 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
104 KARAVAS Lucy 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
105 LIN Laura 69% 27% 4% - - -
106 CAO Audrey 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.